USA midterm elections: A blue wave or a red rally?

Adjust Comment Print

"But, as you know, my primary focus has been on the Senate, and I think we're doing really well in the Senate".

Harris Faulkner said that improving their majority in the Senate would be a big win for the Republican Party and Trump, noting the contentious Senate confirmation battle over Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh. That's unlikely, by all accounts, because the map is so friendly for the GOP.

"If the radical Democrats take power they will take a wrecking ball to our economy and our future", Trump declared in Cleveland, using the same heated rhetoric that has defined much of his presidency. Around 30 races considered tossups by the Cook Political Report are still "startlingly close", according to interviews carried out by the Times and Siena College. But 23 is no sure thing: polls suggest their leads are narrow in numerous seats that could push them into the mid-20s or even the mid-30s.

Conversely, Missouri and Nevada are both toss-up races which could go either way.

Firstly, it would mean the party could block legislation proposed by the president.

Even if Republicans do hold on in the Senate, a Democratic takeover of the House would be a pivotal moment in Trump's presidency.

Mr Trump's fiery, invective-filled campaigning produced what may be the most polarised midterm contest in modern times as he played to tribal rifts in American society in a way that no president has done since before the civil rights era. "They know that to win re-election they've got to win Florida and OH". It also predicts that 24 states will have Democratic governors and 26 will have Republican ones at the end of the night.

It is largely considered to be a Democratic stronghold as Democrats have won all 19 elections to statewide offices that have occurred since 2002.

"We'll see tomorrow" what happens, Trump said on the tarmac in Fort Wayne.

The Democrats have rolled out their biggest gun: former President Barack Obama, who travelled to Virginia on Monday to get out the vote for its candidates. "And at the most extreme, they're going to expect the Democrats who, if they win majority in the House, to go ahead and impeach the president". Democrats have a lengthy list of their own priorities they would like to vote on such as lowering prescription drug costs.

That environment still might not be good enough to deliver the Senate, though.

If Trump manages to carry the Republicans past the finish line, he might be able to place a permanent ban on the entry of Muslims from seven countries, as he had tried to do when he was elected. Heidi Heitkamp, a Democrat, in North Dakota.

"If you want more caravans and you want more crime, vote Democrat". Bloomberg photo by Aaron P. Bernstein.

Democrats have telegraphed they will open up investigations of his administration if they take over, and even try to force the release of his tax returns, something previous presidents did voluntarily for decades.

The result compares to 49 percent of Republicans and 40 percent of voters not affiliated with either major political party. As many as 81 per cent of evangelicals voted for Mr Trump in 2016. FiveThirtyEight has them at a 1-in-8 shot.

A total of 36 states have gubernatorial races Tuesday, but it is these six President Trump and the Republican party should be most anxious about.

"If they take back the House, he essentially will become a lame-duck president, and he won't win re-election", said Amy Kremer, a tea party activist who leads the group Women for Trump.

Ms Gillibrand was a congresswoman representing an eastern NY district and was appointed to the Senate seat when Hillary Clinton was nominated secretary of state by President Barack Obama.

Problem number one, Mr Trump's agenda will likely be stalled until 2020.

"I think we're going to do very well in the Senate", the President said yesterday, echoing the consensus of opinion polls. Republicans are competing in just eight held by Democrats.

Democrats are most optimistic about the House, a sprawling battlefield extending from Alaska to Florida.

"He talks about the jobs coming back, he's talking about four million people off of food stamps, he talks about the fact that no Democrat voted for these historic tax cuts...he can talk about multiple things at once", RNC Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel defended.

The president also directed the United States' exit from transnational agreements which he and his allies view as one-sided. You see what's happening with them.

And, Bankrate says, almost 1 in 3 people blame Trump and/or Congress for their personal-finance troubles.