Due to this, above-average temperatures look likely for the northern and western United States, Alaska and Hawaii.
NOAA released its 2018-2019 Winter Outlook for the United States.
What will determine just how wet the Carolinas' winter could be is El Niño, "an ocean-atmosphere climate interaction that is linked to periodic warming in sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific".
This isn't ruling out one or two big snowstorms between December and February, but the latest forecast is showing additional moisture falling across the South, while the typically colder North can expect drier conditions. In other words, if this pans out, weather like we've seen the past couple weeks (hopefully sans flooding) may be more frequent than most winters.
The Southeast, Ohio Valley and mid-Atlantic can go any way on temperature, Halpert said. The southern states of the US, as well as those in the Mid-Atlantic, are expected to receive above-normal precipitation.
- No part of the U.S.is favored to have below-average temperatures.
Northern Florida and southern Georgia could see the wettest conditions this winter, according to NOAA, followed by central and Eastern North Carolina, much of South Carolina, Texas and New Mexico, northern Georgia and far southern parts of Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana and Texas. The northern half stays drier while the southern half gets extra precipitation.
- Drier-than-average conditions are most likely in parts of the northern Rockies and Northern Plains, as well as in the Great Lakes and northern Ohio Valley. The northeast and midwest are largely expected to have an average year for precipitation.
-This outlook does not project seasonal snowfall accumulations. That means, invariably, some areas will experience conditions opposite the most likely forecast even if most locations are correctly predicted, Halpert said.
If the snowfall earlier this week reminded you how much you don't like the winter cold, you may be in luck.
Keep your eyes peeled for the next NOAA update on November 15.