Tropical disturbance near Gulf of Mexico likely to develop further, experts say

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PTC 14 is forecast to organize and strengthen into a tropical storm by Monday afternoon. It would be Tropical Storm Michael, the next name on the hurricane center's list. Based off the latest data, this system will feed off the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico and upgrade to a category 1 hurricane early Wednesday morning.

The storm system forming in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico may be nothing, forecasters say. A cold front moving through the Brazos Valley mid-week should keep any tropical activity east of Texas and impacts felt here very minimal. The current forecast keeps the center east of MS, making landfall sometime Wednesday or early Thursday between Mobile and Panama City most likely as a tropical storm.

After day 3, the trough is expected to cause the cyclone to turn northeastward and accelerate further across the southeastern United States.

The latest advisory said sustained winds were near 30 miles per hour, with some higher gusts. The system will remain a tropical storm for the next several days with little change in strength. The system could become a hurricane by Tuesday night or Wednesday.

Tropical Storm Leslie is still sitting in the Atlantic Ocean, and its latest predicted track is forecast to stay away from the U.S. It has a small chance to develop into either a subtropical or tropical storm. Follow WBRZ Weather on Facebook and Twitter for even more weather updates while you are on the go.