A new 2018 midterm poll shows that if elections were held today, five Senate Democrats would lose to Republican challengers in states that President Donald Trump won in 2016. Almost a million Democrats voted, doubling the turnout for that party from the 2014 midterm primary.
The poll also shows Democrats with advantages in traditionally Republican-dominated seats across the state, like the 2nd District in the Virginia Beach area, the 6th District along the state's western half and the 7th District covering the counties around Richmond.
One million primary votes won't win a statewide race in Texas for Democrats.
One theory is that those who run against Trump, even Republicans, will pay a political price. The victor, who is the wife of Attorney General Ken Paxton, had Patrick's backing and ran on a platform to the right of outgoing state Sen.
Democrats had far better turnout in the 1994 primary, for example.
Angela Paxton defeated Phillip Huffines in this open-seat primary.
"There are a few battleground house districts, such as Will Hurd's stretch, which is El Paso to San Antonio". Hillary Clinton beat Trump in all three districts in 2016, but primary runoffs are likely in each of those races.
On the Democratic side, there are nine candidates on the ballot vying for the gubernatorial nomination, and three vying for the Senate nomination.
In the 10th District, where Republican Rep. Barbara Comstock will square off against the victor of a seven-person Democratic primary field, 44 percent of voters said they would prefer a Democrat to 34 percent who prefer a Republican. The gambit raised her profile and helped propel Moser into a May 22 runoff. Of that, 465, 245 -nearly 53 percent-were done by registered Democrats, according to data from Texas Secretary of State. "These demographic shifts are a positive trend line for a big-tent progressive political party".
The primary will select the candidates who will appear on the ballot in the general election. In the New York Times, an op-ed by Columbia University's Musa al-Gharbi takes note of high GOP turnout in the recent Texas primaries and writes that the 2018 "blue wave narrative" so prevalent among pundits might need some reassessment. Neither Mr. White nor Mr. Valdez may win a majority of Tuesday's votes, though.
The message after the Texas primary is twofold: Texas is not turning blue, but Democratic enthusiasm is real.
Former former Obama administration official Lillian Salerno and former National Football League linebacker and a civil rights attorney Colin Allred advanced Tuesday to a May 22 runoff for the Democratic nomination for the 32nd Congressional District seat. Despite Estes' long record of conservative leadership, he irked Patrick after being the only Republican to vote against changing the threshold required to take up legislation.