Dollar Advances As Strong US Consumer Inflation Backs Fed Rate Hike Hopes

Adjust Comment Print

The Fed is expected to raise rates three times this year, with the first hike coming next month. Here too, base effects will weigh on the year-over-year pace of inflation; indeed, January 2017 was the only month last year when core prices gained 0.3% vs. the average increase of 0.1%.

Consumer prices rose 0.5 percent in January, compared with the expectation from economists for a 0.3 percent increase, according to Bloomberg News.

The unexpected price increases are expected to take a toll on the stock market.

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) in its "Customer Price Index January 2018" released on Wednesday, February 14 in Abuja said Nigeria's CPI dropped to about 15.13 percent in January 2018.

The capital goods, a barometer of investments, showed a sharp increase in output by 16.4 per cent in December, 2017 as against a decline of 6.2 per cent year ago.

USA weekly jobless claims, producer price index, Empire State manufacturing survey, industrial production and housing market index are due on Thursday, while housing starts, import and export prices and consumer sentiment are due on Friday.

He added: "Policymakers said last week (that) they will try and bring inflation back to target more quickly than previously expected, which means rates could rise faster and further than anticipated".

Food price inflation also appeared to be slowing, having risen strongly since mid-2016, edging down 0.1% on the month amid larger falls in the cost of meat, oils, milk, cheese and eggs.

"The fact that. losses are being trimmed, suggests that the market could be slowly starting to get to grips with the new higher inflation environment reality", said Fiona Cincotta, market analyst at City Index.

The Federal Reserve were hoping the inflation rate stayed above 2.0% and in the last few months that has been the case.

United Kingdom inflation remained stable in January as downward pressure from auto fuel and food prices was offset by upward effect from recreational and cultural goods.

It said the Retail Prices Index (RPI), which is used to calculate payments on government bonds, student loans and other commercial contracts, edged down to 4% from December's six-year high of 4.1%. The investors consider the next interest rates hike to be in May and then again in November.

In January 2018, the report added that inflation on a year-on-year basis was highest in Kebbi (18.55 per cent); Nasarawa (18.49 per cent); and Bauchi (18.01 per cent); while Delta (12.77 per cent); Kogi (13.28 per cent) and Anambra (13.34 per cent) recorded the slowest rise in headline inflation. Prices were forecast to gain 4.1 percent. "It's the market's job to adjust to the backdrop of interest rates".